Liverpool and Chelsea meet in the first ever all-English European Super Cup final. The match will kick off at 10:00pm local time in Istanbul, meaning it will be an 8:00pm kick off in the UK on Wednesday night. Liverpool won their 6th Champions League trophy this past June beating Tottenham, whilst Chelsea humiliated Arsenal 4-1 in the Europa League final. Who will add another European trophy to their collection?
Liverpool started their season with the opportunity to win 7 trophies (the septuple!?), but have already missed out on the Community Shield, and realistically there is one which is greater significance for them – the Premier League. However, they’ll still care deeply about getting some silverware here, and add this European Super Cup success to their 1977, 2001 and 2005 successes. Liverpool started their competitive season with an expectable 4-1 result at home to Norwich, as they looked increasingly sharper than they did in pre-season.
Most of their squad are back to full fitness now, except Sadio Mane who is yet to play any minutes this season. He is expected to take some part in this game, which would reignite the holy trinity that were so effective for Liverpool last season. The bad news for Liverpool is that they’ll be without keeper Alisson who suffered an injury to Norwich, so new signing Adrian will start his first ever game for the club.[geot exclude_country="US" ][/geot]
Chelsea’s season couldn’t have gotten off to a worse start. There wasn’t much between themselves and Manchester United in the game on Sunday, however, they walked off the pitch at the end having been humbled 4-0. Plenty of possession, got themselves into dangerous positions, but once again they didn’t have that killer instinct. On top of that, they let the backdoor wide open every time they went forward, playing into United’s hands.
Chelsea were missing key defender Antonio Rudiger, and midfield maestro N’Golo Kante could only come off the bench. It’s already looking like it’ll be a tough season for Chelsea, but a win against Liverpool could breed some new found belief into the club, as well as the tangible success. Chelsea did lose this final in 2012 and 2013 – with manager Frank Lampard involved as a player – so him, and all Chelsea fans will be itching to get their hands on this trophy.
Head to Head
It’s very rare that these two sides only meet in their annual Premier League matches, as they have so often been drawn together in League Cups, FA Cups, and Champions League matches down the years. Now, for the first time ever, they’ll meet in the European Super Cup final. In last year’s meetings, Liverpool had won the most recent one, winning 2-0 at Anfield in the league, with Mohammed Salah scoring a thunderous strike.
Earlier on in the season, Chelsea were held 1-1 by Liverpool at Stamford Bridge, before meeting a few days later in the Carabao Cup which saw Chelsea win 2-1 at Anfield. Their last meeting on neutral turf was back in the 2012 FA Cup final, which Chelsea won 2-1. Liverpool have a stronger squad at the moment, but it must be noted that they have only beaten Chelsea three times in their last 17 meetings.
Predictions and Betting Tips
Liverpool are favourites to win at 8/13, with Chelsea backed at 17/4. For the sides to draw, and for it to go into extra time, that is at 3/1. To lift the trophy outright, Liverpool are at 2/7, with Chelsea at 5/2. After their performances at the weekend, you’d have to be confident in backing Liverpool to win here at 8/13, and my gut is telling me they’ll get a 2-0 victory here at 15/2.
You can boost the odds significantly by backing Divock Origi to score first in a 2-0 win at 20/1. More excellent value bets on Liverpool include betting on them to score 3+ (7/4) or backing Mohammed Salah to score more goals than Chelsea at 3/1. If you are tipster, then don’t be shy in backing Chelsea. They are perhaps more desperate to win this trophy given their recent failures, and have a good record against Liverpool.
Therefore, my final tip would be to have a cheeky bet on Chelsea to either win by a 1-goal margin (7/1), or Chelsea to win on penalties at 14/1.[geot exclude_country="US" ][/geot]