Football Betting Tips Top European Leagues 7th May to Monday 13th May 2019 Jonathan May 8, 2019 Welcome to another week of expert betting tips for fantastic valued accumulators for the upcoming fixtures across Europe’s biggest competitions and leagues. I provide you these calculated accumulator bets based on some statistical research, insight and of course, my gut intuition. I have been winning high risk high reward bets for many years, and I opt to share my advice and tips. Last week there were many predictions that came to fruition, so I hope for similar, if not more, success again this week. In the world of football, we saw Barcelona and Ajax put themselves in a strong position to reach the Champions League final, with the latter also winning their domestic cup. Atalanta have taken a spot in the top four in Serie A as they trying to qualify for the Champions League, Cardiff were relegated from the Premier League, and Bayern Munich edge closer to the title as Dortmund bottle it again. What’s in store this week? We’ll see the 2nd legs of the Champions League and Europa League, the final match day in the Premier League, and more crucial fixtures across the continent as league’s are decided, relegated teams face their fate, and so much more. ‘European Special – The 2nd Legs!’ Our first bet will be the European Special, where I try to predict the outcomes to all of the semi-final legs this week in both the Europa League and Champions League. Last week, I earned 100% success from my Champions League predictions, as I backed Ajax to win by a 1-goal margin, and additionally backing Lionel Messi to score in a Barcelona win. Let’s hope for more of the same this week! Match One: Liverpool vs Barcelona Liverpool need the biggest ever semi-final Champions League miracle to overcome their 3-0 deficit from the first leg. History shows Liverpool are more than capable of producing a special performance at Anfield, and also Barcelona can collapse on their travels. Barcelona have lost 4-0 to Bayern Munich, 3-0 to Roma, 3-0 to Juventus and 4-0 to PSG in the last 6 seasons. Any of those score lines will keep Liverpool in the tie, so why can’t they do it? Well, this Barcelona team seem to have more mettle than before, and with Lionel Messi in outstanding form – I cannot see Liverpool keeping a clean sheet. I’d back a home win with Liverpool scoring three goals, but the away team will progress. Match Bet: Liverpool to score 3+ goals at 3/1 Match Two: Ajax vs Tottenham Ajax took the initiative in the first leg, and fully deserved their 1-0 win at the new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Donny van de Beek scored the game’s only goal, after a bright start from Ajax. Tottenham had no Harry Kane, no Son Heung-min, and to be brutally honest, no attacking threat. The latter will return for the 2nd leg, so you cannot rule Spurs out just yet, but Ajax are firm favourites. I expect both teams to score in this match, with Ajax outscoring their opponents to send them through to the final. Match Bet: Ajax to win and both teams to score at 5/2 Match Three: Valencia vs Arsenal Arsenal have the advantage having won 3-1 in the first leg, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang getting a late goal. However, as Arsenal are utterly shocking on the road, Valencia should feel confident that they can get a 2-0 victory which will send them through to the final. Arsenal are not a good team to back at the moment, as they have only won one of their last 5 matches, having surrendered in the league to throw away a top four spot. And yet, I have a feeling we’ll see an all English final, so Arsenal may get over the line in Valencia – let’s be raucous and back Arsenal to progress to the final, albeit narrowly. Match Bet: Valencia to win by a 1-goal margin at 11/4 Match Four: Chelsea vs Eintracht Frankfurt Chelsea have the upper-hand after securing a 1-1 draw away from home in the first leg. Chelsea looked the superior team in most aspects too, and you’d expect them to make their way to the Europa League final. Chelsea secured top four in the Premier League this weekend, with Frankfurt having a complete contrast of matches, as they lost 6-1 to Bayer Leverkusen, which puts their own top four bid in the Bundesliga at a huge risk with just two games to go. With Chelsea in confident mode, I expect them to get the win, with Eden Hazard getting a goal on what could turn out to be his final match at Stamford Bridge as a Chelsea player. Match Bet: Eden Hazard to score and Chelsea win at 5/4 Bet Summary: For all of those scenarios to come true, you can get an accumulator with odds about 120/1. ‘End of Season Upsets’ At this time of the year, even the biggest teams struggle to get their routine victories. Reasons for this can be that the supposed favourites are resting players for other important matches, they have already secured the league title, or they simply can’t reach their objectives. This was evident this past week as Manchester United drew at Huddersfield, Barcelona lost to Celta Vigo, and Juventus almost lost at home to Torino. Some players have their minds on other matches, or just thinking of their long-awaited holiday. Here are three matches where the underdogs will want it more, and could earn a shock result. Match One: Roma vs Juventus Roma are currently 5th in Serie A, with an outside chance of getting the 4th spot which is currently occupied by the unfancied Atalanta. Roma will have to make the most from their final three matches, including a huge win against champions Juventus. We have seen in recent weeks that Juventus are already in holiday mode, and failing to perform anywhere near their full potential. Therefore, Roma will greatly need the points, and that desperation could get them an illustrious victory against Juventus. Match Bet: Roma to win to nil at 7/2 Match Two: Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Even the bookmakers have started to catch on that betting on Real Madrid has been money down the drain for quite some time. They did manage to just beat Villarreal this past weekend, but they are winning as much as they are losing in recent months, and I expect them to experience another tough fixture here. Manager Zinedine Zidane is experimenting with different selections, trying to find out more about his players, so that gives this Real Sociedad the chance to conjure up a special win. They recently lost narrowly to Barcelona, and come into this fixture winning two on the bounce. Match Bet: Real Sociedad to win at 13/8 Match Three: Leicester vs Chelsea On the final match day of the Premier League, there is always an odd score line to finish off the season. One in my memory was when Stoke beat Liverpool 6-1 back in 2015! My final tip for my 2nd accumulator comes between Leicester and Chelsea. Leicester have been in superb form of late as they finish the season strongly, and Chelsea have already secured a Champions League spot. This has the recipe for an ‘upset’, particularly as Chelsea will have played their 2nd leg semi-final of the Europa League just a few days before. Leicester beat Arsenal 3-0 not too long ago, and to really boost our odds, let’s back Leicester to repeat that feat. Match Bet: Leicester to score 3+ goals at 11/2 Bet Summary: You can feel free to back on these individually, but for these three end-of-season upsets to happen, you can get generous odds of 76/1. Go for it! ‘Play-Off Special’ The Championship Playoffs are an invigorating way to finish off the domestic season, as four teams are playing for the ultimate prize – to be a Premier League team. Aston Villa take on West Brom in the West Midlands derby in one semi-final, with Derby taking on Leeds in the other. I will predict the niche betting tips for each match, to give the tipsters an opportunity to bet on a high reward high risk accumulator. Match One: Aston Villa vs West Brom Aston Villa are favourites to progress as they have ended their season so strongly, which included a 10 match winning streak from February to April. However, they do come into this fixture not winning in their two recent matches, albeit against already promoted Norwich and Leeds. West Brom lost on the final day of the season to potential Play-off Finalists Derby, but could be forgiven for having an eye on this clash instead. Both teams will go full throttle into this match, so anything can happen with goals, comebacks, penalties etc. For the best value, I’d recommend picking a team to win from behind, and I’d go for the hosts. Match Bet: Aston Villa to win from behind at 10/1 Match Two: Derby vs Leeds Leeds were in the top two for the majority of the season, but essentially bottled their position in the final weeks of the season which saw them finish 3rd. Therefore, they may go into these play-offs in a bit of a deflated way, whereas Derby will be jubilant to sneak in the play-offs on the final day. Derby manager Frank Lampard wasn’t happy with Marcelo Bielsa’s spying tactics in a previous encounter between the two sides, so can he get revenge by ending their Premier League hunt? I expect a cagey game, with Derby getting a winner in the 2nd half. Check out my half time/full time bet. Match Bet: HF/FT bet of Draw/Derby at 5/1 Bet Summary: For the two predictions to come off, you can get odds of 65/1. Just two matches, two easily conceivable outcomes. Why not? Thank for you reading my tips once again, and let’s hope we continue this run of successful predictions. Bring on the football!