Welcome to another week of expert football tips for the tipsters, who are willing to bet high risk, for that high reward.
As always, I will be providing you three accumulator tips for the top matches across Europe this coming week using stats and insight I relentlessly research, and more importantly, my football intuition that has been paying my bills for many a year now.
Last week, I correctly predicted some long odd scenarios, and mightily close to some huge gains on accumulators. If you bet on my games individually, as some are entitled to do, you’d have been a very successful bettor last week.
Anyway, moving on, the Premier League season may have finished, but there is still abundance of football to come in this next week, with critical games everywhere from the Italian Cup final, to the FA Cup final, the final weekends in the Portuguese League, the Bundesliga, the Dutch league and of course the playoffs in England too.
Bring it on! I am not going into hibernation yet!
‘One Game from Glory’
For the first accumulator today, I am going to back four teams that are just 90 minutes from achieving either their expected or unpredicted goals this season. They are just one game away from sealing the deal but it’s now pressure time, or as Sir Alex Ferguson called it ‘Squeaky bum time’.
Some should have no issue in getting over the line, so I’ll have to boost their odds, whilst some are unfancied going into their final mission.
Match One: De Graafschap vs Ajax
An absolute shoe-in. Ajax will win the title on Wednesday night, as they won at the weekend whilst PSV lost. Ajax can even lose this match 5-0 and still win the title, as they need a goal swing of 14 goals, given that Ajax lose and PSV win their final game. It’s as good as over. I am not tipping you to bet on Ajax to beat De Graafschap at 1/10, but I am tipping you to absolutely smash them.
Match Bet: Ajax to win with a handicap of -3 at 23/20
Match Two: Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt
It’s not a dead cert like the Ajax one, but you’ll be a fool for thinking that Bayern Munich won’t secure the Bundesliga title on the final match day on Saturday.
They were held by a draw at Leipzig meaning it will go to the final day, but a point will see them win the league, or if Borussia Dortmund fail to beat Borussia Monchengladbach. For Frankfurt, their fantastic season has flipped in the space of a week.
Losses to Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz have put them from 4th to 6th, and a defeat here could send them to 7th, so potentially a qualification chance in the Champions League could turn into no European football at all. Let’s not forget their knockout blow to Chelsea in the Europa League semi-finals on penalties too.
Surely, they won’t be able to pick themselves up and get a shock victory here?
Match Bet: Bayern Munich to win to nil at 9/5
Match Three: Lazio vs Atalanta
Not in Serie A, but this huge fixture is in the Coppa Italia final, that takes place on Wednesday night. The final does take place in the infamous Stadio Olimpico, where Lazio play all season, so it may give them a slight edge in the final, despite their current form faltering.
Atalanta on the other hand have been terrific, as they are just 4 points away from guaranteeing a Champions League spot for next season. Atalanta could win their first Italian Cup since 1963, or get into the Champions League for the first time in their history – or both!
However, I am going to tip that Lazio get the cup victory here as it’s a do-or-die match for them.
Match Bet: Lazio to win and both teams score at 7/2
Match Four: Getafe vs Villarreal
La Liga finishes at the weekend with most of the league wrapped up and ready for the summer. However, there is a huge game in the history of Getafe as they have a Champions League spot to play for.
Their recent defeat to Barcelona, coupled with Valencia’s win over Alaves, has put Getafe in 5th position, level on points with Valencia who are in the hunt for that 4th available Champions League place. What separates them? Just one goal.
Therefore, Getafe will need to better Valencia’s result against Valladolid, but if they were both to win, they would need to win by two clear goals more. It would be a phenomenal end to Getafe’s season. Can they do it?
Match Bet: Getafe to score 3+ goals at 21/10
Bet Summary: For those four teams to reach their glory, you can back it in an accumulator style at 83/1, or individually if you prefer.
As you know, I like to explore many betting techniques across football, and try to seek out the best value odds in football matches. I play around with score cast, goals, handicaps, but I just love winning a successful HF/FT bet. This high risk, high reward bets are perfect for the tipsters, so for the following three matches, I am going to predict how a game may pan out, giving you a chance of winning large stakes, so you can buy large steaks. Here we go!
Match One: West Brom vs Aston Villa
West Midlands derbies do not come greater than this one, as the sides meet in the Championship playoff semi-final 2nd leg. After their first leg meeting ended in a 2-1 win for Aston Villa, it is all to play for in the 2nd leg as West Brom have home advantage in order to turn it around. In that game, you’d have won a bet if you put West Brom/Aston Villa at 28/1, and if you check my article last week – I had called it! I expect West Brom to take the lead in this game again, only to be pegged back in the 2nd half against Villa.
Match Bet: HT/FT bet to be West Brom/Draw at 14/1
Match Two: Leeds vs Derby
We’ll stick to the Championships playoffs, as we travel to Elland Road who welcome Derby for their 2nd leg. Leeds are overwhelming favourites to progress after winning the first match 1-0. In the first leg, the HF/FT outcome was Draw/Leeds, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw a similar cagey affair pan out exactly the same way. I expect Leeds to reach the final, as they look to end their 15 year wait for the Premier League.
Match Bet: HT/FT bet to be Draw/Leeds at 7/2
Match Three: Eibar vs Barcelona
Barcelona finish their La Liga campaign travelling to Eibar on the final day, and there really isn’t anything to play for here – for both sides. Due to the unpredictability of the game, I thought that you can get good value odds for any type of prediction for how this game will go. Barcelona may be tempted to rest players ahead of their Copa Del Rey the following week, which may leave the door open for a potential shock…or not.
Match Bet: HT/FT bet to be Draw/Barcelona at 4/1
Bet Summary: You can bet on them all individually, but by being ballsy, you can get odds accumulated to 337/1 if they all come off! They are all perfectly possible, so why not?
‘Manchester City to Secure Domestic Treble’
My final bet today will finish on the FA Cup final between Watford and Manchester City. You may have heard that the latter had won the Premier League on Sunday, retaining the title with 98 points. Yes, 98 points, just two shy of their 100 points total from last season.
They were pushed all the way by Liverpool, but this Manchester City side are undoubtedly the greatest Premier League team of all time, surpassing the Manchester United team of the 90’s, Jose Mourinho’s first stint at Chelsea, and Arsenal’s invincibles.
Anyway, they could be the first English side to claim a domestic treble, but let’s give respect to Watford who have been terrific for large parts this season. Can Watford repeat what Wigan did in 2013, and shock City?
Bet One: Manchester City to win by a 1-goal margin at 3/1
The odds of Manchester City winning by four goals or more is similar to them winning by just one goal. This bemuses me, as Watford will be tricky opposition, and Manchester City only beat Watford by one goal in an earlier season meeting, beat Burnley, Leicester, and Tottenham only by one goal too in the league, and of course their semi-final triumph against Brighton was only 1-0. It’s going to be an entertaining match, and I can see Watford scoring. So backing there to be a 1-0, 2-1 or 3-2 at 3/1 seems reasonable to me.
Bet Two: Bernardo Silva to Outscore the Opposition at 7/2
It’s easy to pick Sergio Aguero or Raheem Sterling, but for me Bernardo Silva has been exceptional this season, and I won’t be surprised if he is the man that gets the goal as Manchester City claim the domestic treble. His close control, ability to take on players, work rate gets noticed all the time, but he can finish, too. For him to score more than the opposition, he is at a generous 7/2
Bet Summary: For both of my cup final bets
I hope you have enjoyed reading my accumulator tips for the week, and good luck to all![geot country="US,CA" ]
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