The Champions League final may have been a bit of an anti-climax on Saturday night, unless you’re a Liverpool fan of course, but there is no doubt we have witnessed one of the greatest seasons across Europe in quite some time. The Champions League had more comebacks and surprises than before, the league title races were nail-biting in many countries, as every week we were blessed with high quality football, and thoroughly enjoyable matches throughout.
Now, with the domestic season’s coming to an end, you’ll be wrong in thinking that football is over to August. Nope, the players that are too good at their profession cannot go on their holidays just yet, and instead have to travel to their international teams for two final games of the season.
For some, those two games are the first ever UEFA Nations League, which Portugal, Switzerland, England and Netherlands will take place in. Other nations will have important European Championship qualifiers to participate in, so it gives us bettors plenty of chance to enjoy football and betting for at least another week. Hooray! I’ll be giving you my expert football betting tips, based on stats, insight, analysis, and most importantly, my gut intuition, that has carried me through all my successful bets in the past.
All the bets this week will be accumulator based, on some of the most popular betting types. Let’s get crackin’!
‘Both Teams to Score’
We’ll start off nice and simple by betting on four matches, with every team scoring. As football fans, we want to be entertained, and it’s always a lot more fun to bet on a football match when we just want goals, goals, and more goals. We don’t need one team to score 4 or 5, we are just happy when each team scores at least one goal throughout the 90 minutes, before we can relax. I have cherry picked four matches where I believe this will be the case in the European Championship qualifications.
Match One: Austria vs Slovenia
It’s more likely than both teams DO NOT score, but, we need to pick more precarious games to boost our odds – and to be honest, they shouldn’t be that precarious given the two teams form. Austria recently played Israel in a match and lost 4-2, so I am hoping we have a similar fate here. Slovenia have scored and conceded in seven of their last eight matches, so that is further proof that the value of these odds are very good. Slovenia have Josip Iličić of Atalanta who is very dangerous in front of goal, and Austria have Marko Arnautovic amongst their ranks.
Match Bet: Both teams to score at 5/4
Match Two: Denmark vs Republic of Ireland
I am utterly mad for suggesting this match. Why? Because, the sides have met quite a few times in recent years, and three of the last four have ended goal-less – that’s right, no goals at all. Now, I am predicting that both teams will score? Absolutely. Thanks for their recent history, the odds of them both scoring are at 11/8, which is very generous. Also, how many games will they want to draw 0-0? Things have changed since then, including personnel, managers and tactics – so it’s a risk, but I hope it can pay off. In the other match they played, Denmark won 5-1, and no one saw that coming.
Match Bet: Both teams to score at 11/8
Match Three: Croatia vs Wales
World Cup finalists Croatia have had a bit of a summer hangover, having only won two matches since last June, but thankfully for them, both did come in front of their home supporters. Wales will want to replicate their Euro 2016 performance, so this match is crucial for both of them to aid their qualification. It may suggest that it will be tight and cagey, but both teams play open and expansive football, with defending one of the lowest priorities it seems. Lots of world-class players on display, so I have no doubts that Croatia will definitely score, and Wales should hope to nick a goal too.
Match Bet: Both teams to score at 5/4
Match Four: Scotland vs Cyprus
Scotland have secured a play-off already thanks to their UEFA Nations League group success, but luckily so as they started their European Championship in an embarrassing fashion. They lost 3-0 to Kazakhstan, and then could only beat minnows San Marino 2-0 in the 2nd game. This type of form led manager Alex McLeish to the sack, so new manager Steve Clarke will hope to revitalise their campaign. Cyprus are not shy in front of goal, so I expect them to cause some bother and get on the scoresheet. For the hosts, you hope a new manager will have that immediate impact so they can get a victory, which would mean they would score.
Match Bet: Both teams to score at 5/4
Bet Summary: You can bet on them all individually if you choose, but for all of those eight teams to score, you can add them in an accumulator that goes up to 26/1.
‘Narrow Margin Wins for Favourites’
Backing the favourites to win doesn’t necessarily give us the odds we often desire. However, by choosing how many goals they win by, certainly does. For my next accumulator, I’ll be simply backing some of the favourites to win their respective matches, but hoping they do it in a narrow fashion to increase the risk, and therefore profit.
Match One: Turkey vs France
World Cup winners France are unmistakably the best football team on the planet right now, as they have only lost one match in the last couple of years. That rare defeat to Netherlands was the only bit of defeat they tasted, so backing any team to beat them is a huge risk at this moment in time. So, Turkey are at 5/1, wouldn’t be my choice here. Instead, to have similar type of odds, with less risk, I’d recommend backing France to win by just a 1-goal margin. France are away from home, it’ll be an end-of-season affair, and Turkey do possess some players which can cause a lot of damage. France will hopefully have enough quality to shine through.
Match Bet: France to win by a 1-goal margin at 9/4
Match Two: Greece vs Italy
Italy will be desperate to qualify for European Championships in 2020, having missed their first major tournament in over 50 years. They are going through a bit of transition, and boast one of the weakest squads in their history. Defensively astute sure, but not enough attacking prowess. They are favourites to win at Greece, but I don’t expect them to blow them away. Backing them to win by a 1-goal margin are kind odds, and surely the most likely outcome.
Match Bet: Italy to win by a 1-goal margin at 5/2
Match Three: Spain vs Sweden
Spain are overwhelming favourites to win this match at 1/5, but I don’t think the bookmakers are giving Sweden enough credit. They were quarter finalists in the last World Cup, and have been able to take points off the likes of France, Netherlands and Italy, and have not been embarrassed when losing to the likes of Germany, either. They are a resolute side that will have a game-plan ready to frustrate the Spanish. Spain, are a top side – that’s undeniable – but they are not vintage Spain at the moment, and backing them to win is not a given like it was 10 years ago. They could only beat Norway by a 1-goal margin in their recent qualifier.
Match Bet: Spain to win by a 1-goal margin at 3/1
Bet Summary: All of the odds are generously separately, but by adding them together, you can get odds up to 45/1.
‘UEFA Nations League Special’
Our final accumulator, or more accurately, a double, we’ll be focusing on the UEFA Nations League that’s occurring on Wednesday, Thursday and Sunday of this week. Of course, we’ll focus on the semi-finals that take place on those first two days, and I am going to predict how I see them both panning out, with a HT/FT bet. Betting on two of these outcomes can boost odds significantly, so your stake can win you a huge amount of money. It’s hosted in Portugal, and that’s where we’ll start first…
Match One: Portugal vs Switzerland
Portugal will be favourites taking on Switzerland on Wednesday, with them having a decent record against the Swiss at home. In Switzerland it’s a different story, but that’s irrelevant now. Portugal boast a squad of Cristiano Ronaldo, Bernardo Silva, and young superstar Joao Felix, so they have plenty of ammunition to win their 2nd piece of silverware in three years. Switzerland shouldn’t be underestimated, as they reached the same stage as Portugal in the recent World Cup, and had to beat Belgium 5-2 in order to get here. I expect Portugal to narrowly get the win in the 2nd half of the match, with perhaps Ronaldo getting the winner.
Match Bet: HT/FT bet of Draw/Portugal at 10/3
Match Two: Netherlands vs England
Netherlands may be waking up again in international football following a few disappointing years, whereas England are considered a strong team once again after, well, 50 years of mediocrity? Both teams will fancy themselves of progressing through with it literally being 50/50. If I had to pick a favourite, it’d probably be England based on form, but many of their players have been with their clubs up until very recently – that may be an advantage to the Dutch. I expect this fixture to go to penalties and maybe even extra time, so my 2nd half prediction will be a draw. Backing either team to take the lead in the first half, before it ends in a draw, gives you fantastic odds, so I’d recommend that. England have been fast starters of late, scoring first against Spain twice, and also against Croatia, Sweden, Panama, Tunisia in the World Cup, so based on that logic, let’s hope England take an early lead and then throw it away characteristically in the 2nd half.
Match Bet: HT/FT bet of England/Draw at 14/1
Bet Summary: For those two simple HT/FT outcomes to come to fruition, its backed at 64/1.
That concludes my three accumulator tips for this week’s international football. Enjoy the football, and all the best with the betting![geot country="US,CA" ]
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