If you are not a stranger to betting, you would have come across the Martingale Betting Strategy, which is often used for people that bet on roulette. However, it has become more widespread over the past couple of decades, and it can also be used across many other different casino games. So, can we use the Martingale strategy for football? Does it work? What are the risks? How can we do it? Is it even worth it? I did some research and testing, and here I will explain all.

First of all, what is Martingale?

Martingale is when you bet on 50/50 scenarios in betting, and if you win, you win, all well and good, and you get your original stake in return. If you lose, you bet again, but this time doubling your wager amount. The moment you win a bet, you are always guaranteed to be in profit by winning your original stake. If you lose, you continue doubling your bet, until you eventually win. So, let’s say your stake is £1.

If you bet £1 on a 50/50, and it wins, you get to £2. If you lose, then you bet £2 on your second bet, therefore making you spend £3, but you ultimately win £4 when you win – still £1 in profit. As you eventually win, you will always be in profit, earning your stake on every win, and you ‘never’ lose money (please be aware of the risks, which I will mention later). Still with me? If not, let’s see if the following clears it up.

  • Round 1. Choose colour. Bet £1. If you win? Win £1, so you make £1 profit. If you lose? Go to round 2.
  • Round 2. Choose colour. Bet £2. If you win? Win £4, so you make £1 profit (You previously spent £1 and £2 in bets). If you lose? Go to round 3.
  • Round 3. Choose colour. Bet £4. If you win? Win £8, so you make £1 profit (You previously spent £1. £2 and £4 in bets). If you lose? Go to round 4.
  • Round 4. Choose colour. Bet £8. If you win? Win £16, so you make £1 profit (You previously spent £1, £2, £4 and £8 in bets). If you lose? Go to round 5.
  • Round 5. Choose colour. Bet £16. If you win? Win £32, so you make £1 profit (You previously spent £1, £2, £4, £8 and £16 in bets). If you lose? Go to round 6.

…and so on.

Usually, this is common in roulette, when you pick either red or black (hence why I said ‘choose colour’). However, your chances of winning are actually around 47% (because of the ‘0 ‘which is green). It can also be used on Blackjack, where you can either lose, draw or win, with a win between 40%-50% depending on your skills. So, can we apply this to football?

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What type of bet in football is 50/50?

First of all, you’ll need to find what type of bets can be a 50/50, or something close, so your chance of winning and losing is almost exactly the same. Therefore, you need to put bets continuously on odds that are 1/1 (evens), and in failing to find those odds, something that is close like 21/20, or even 11/10. You’ll need to scout all of the odds within a match to see when these types are available. Every match will have different odds on results, depending on the quality of the two sides. However, in failing that, ‘Under/Over’, Cards, and Corners are very general and don’t usually fluctuate between matches. If you look in these categories, you are guaranteed to see some EVENS odds, or 11/10, which is like a 50/50 scenario.

What are the risks/Issues?

Just as in regular Martingale, you CAN lose, and when you do it’s a bad one, and costs your betting strategy, and your month’s rent. When betting on roulette or Blackjack, the minimum spend is usually £1. Losing twice in a row is bad luck (at this point, you’d have spent £3), losing a third is possible (£7), a fourth you start to panic a lot (£15), and then you need a cool head when betting after losing 5 in a row (£31).

After losing 5, the amount you put on rises from £32 to £64, then to £128, and from there to £256, then to £512 and then you reach £1,024. If you lose 9 50/50’s in a row, you then could be betting £1,023 to win £1024! It can spiral out of control very quickly. The odds of losing 7 times in a row is 1 in 128, so despite it being low, it can still happen. That is the biggest risk of this strategy, so despite it having a huge winning percentage, it’s a tough one to swallow when you go on 8/9 match losing streaks, and you literally cannot afford anymore.

Another issue of betting on football is that you have to wait for each game to finish before betting on a new one. Usually, except for the weekends, it’s tough to find a continuous number of matches, so it takes even longer to build up.

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What stakes would you start with?

Depends on your budget, and your patience to build up your winnings. Your stake is the amount of money you win per every successful match. If you start on £5, then you can build income up quickly, but after four straight losses, you are already betting £75 to win £80. On the flip side, most online bookmakers give you the option to bet £0.10 per bet. Yes, it would take a life time to increase your money, but patience is a virtue.

If you somehow lost 7 matches in a row (remember, that’s a 1 in 128 chance), you’d be betting on £6.30 to earn £6.40, so you won’t exactly be breaking the bank for quite some time. Chances are that you’ll have won one by the time you reach those figures, anyway.

Final Verdict and Test

I have used Martingale during the past couple of weekends, and managed to bet on 7 different matches throughout each day. On my first attempt, out of the 7 matches, I had lost 4 and won 3. I started with £50 and I got it up to £53.45, with my biggest gamble betting £4 to win £8. After a relentless day of checking the amounts of cards or goals in these fixtures, I found the experience rather underwhelming, despite getting a small profit.

In summary, it can work, but it requires a lot of patience, and I would recommend doing this if you are happy to win small stakes at every opportunity, so maybe £0.10 to £0.50 would be a good starting point. The moment you get impatient, and start with stakes such as £5, it can spiral out of control very quickly, and you panic are getting into serious situations.

I wouldn’t fully recommend this strategy for any betting game, and perhaps even less so for football. It can work, it can rewarding, and its likely to get a small profit, but it requires time and work. Betting should be about fun, and this betting strategy doesn’t involve any at all. Please be careful if you choose to use this betting strategy, and bet responsibly, and only what you can afford.

I hope you enjoyed this article, and it has helped you answer your question regarding football and this infamous betting strategy.

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