Porto and Sporting Lisbon meet in the Portuguese Cup final on Saturday, kicking off at 5:00pm local time. Both sides have won this trophy 16 times in the past, but who will make it 17?
Porto have had a decent season for their standards, but if they were to lose this final on Saturday, they’ll end the season trophy-less.
A run to the quarter finals of the Champions League, narrowly losing out to Benfica in the league title run-in, and also runners up in the Portuguese League Cup has seen their season falter when so much was expected. Porto finished 2 points behind Benfica, meaning had they avoided one of their two defeats to them in the head to head games, they’d have been champions for the 2nd successive year.
On the final day of the season, Porto entertained Sporting Lisbon, and came from behind to win 2-1 in an ill-tempered match, which saw both teams reduced to 10 men. Can Porto salvage a trophy from their season?
Sporting Lisbon had one of their biggest lows in football last season, as they lost the Portuguese Cup final to Deportivo Das Aves, as well as crumbling in their bid for the title which ultimately left them in 3rd place, and meant missing out on this season’s Champions League.
On the pitch, it was just near misses for the club, but off the pitch it was more catastrophic, as the clubs own fans attacked their players, which led many to leave. Sporting Lisbon have been through a patchy transition season, under the regime of new manager Marcel Keizer.
However, they did win the Portuguese League cup against Porto, and had to overcome Benfica in the semi-finals to reach the final here. Can they win a domestic double against the odds?
Head to Head
There is little between the two sides in recent history, with Porto and Sporting Lisbon winning 4 apiece in their last 11 league meetings. Porto do have an unwanted record of not being able to beat Sporting Lisbon away, or at a neutral venue since 2008, whereas Sporting Lisbon have won at Porto twice during that time, as well as the Portuguese League Cup final at a neutral venue this season.
This meeting will be the 4th meeting this season, with the first game ending 0-0 back in January, and then the League Cup final which Sporting Lisbon won on penalties after a 1-1 score line. The side’s also met last weekend in the final league game of the season, where Porto won 2-1.
Predictions and Betting Tips
Porto are favourites at 10/11 to get the victory, with Sporting Lisbon ranked outsiders at 5/2. For the sides to draw and to go into extra time, that is priced at 11/5. Porto will feel unlucky if they were to finish 2nd in every Portuguese competition this season, but I can see them getting the victory here to prevent that from happening.
My score line prediction would be a 2-0 Porto win at 15/2. To increase income on a Porto win, you can back them to keep a clean sheet at 7/5, or to win from behind as they did this past weekend, at 14/1. If you would like to back Sporting Lisbon in any capacity, you can bet on them to lead at half time again at a generous 3/1, or even back them to take Porto to extra time at 11/5.
Finally, it was penalties that had to decide the outcome in their Portuguese League Cup final back in January, so if you feel that Porto or Sporting Lisbon will win on penalties, they are both at 18/1 each.[geot country="US,CA" ]
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