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Brighton host Liverpool at the Amex stadium this Saturday, kicking off at 3:00pm local time. Brighton will not be sure whether it is either a great time to face Liverpool or not, after the Reds have lost two matches on the bounce. Will they face an angry Liverpool desperate to get back to winning ways, or a Liverpool side who is going through a minor blip, and lacking some confidence?

Home Team: Brighton

Brighton are in that area of teams that can be relatively relaxed with their season so far, and manager Chris Hughton will be quietly pleased with his position in 13th. Usually, newly promoted teams can face a backlash in their second season, and face a bigger struggle than their first season in the league, but Brighton are right on track. On 26 points, there is 10 points that separates them to the relegation places, as Brighton look set to secure another season in the top flight. They tend to say that 40 points guarantees survival, but the reality is that it can be even less, so Brighton may be 3 or 4 wins from survival already. Brighton have been in good form of late, picking up 5 points from a possible 12 in four tricky Christmas fixtures, and then beating Bournemouth in the FA Cup to progress into the next round.

Away Team: Liverpool

Liverpool have started the 2019 with two defeats, but they still are slight favourites to win the league at 4/5. However, many questions have started to be asked of the potential title winners, and now is a time for them to react and prove that they are worthy of the title. Manchester City losing three from 5 gave Liverpool a huge advantage to go 7 points clear, but that has already been cut to 4 points with their narrow defeat to Manchester City. Following that, Jurgen Klopp rested almost his entire team for the FA Cup game against Wolves, and it backfired as they went out losing 2-1. Therefore, this game has become pivotal for Liverpool, and if they were to drop points again, many will say they are being ‘typical’ Liverpool and starting to choke in the race. Liverpool need to prove those critics wrong and get back to winning again. The likes of Van Dyke, Mohammed Salah and Sadio Mane will return, and they will be fresh for a tricky fixture on paper.

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Head to Head

The recent history of this fixture is as one-sided as it comes in the Premier League. In overall history, Liverpool have won this fixture 16 times, with Brighton only winning 4. The most recent victory for Brighton was back in 1984 in the FA Cup. The sides have faced each other six times since 2011, and Liverpool have won them all. In the three Premier League matches in the last 18 months, Liverpool won 5-1 and 4-0 last season, and also beat them in the reverse fixture this season back in August with a 1-0 score line. Utterly dominant.

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Predictions and Betting Tips

bet now betting on footballBearing in mind the history between the two teams, it’s no surprise that Brighton are at 17/2 to win, with Liverpool at 3/10 favourites. A draw is priced at 4/1. It won’t be easy for Liverpool, but I expect them to overcome Brighton here and get back to winning ways. My correct score prediction would be 1-0 to Liverpool at 7/1. I believe it will be tense and cautious, with a moment of magic, or a set-piece separating the two sides.

For the bit of magic, expect Mohammed Salah to score at any time at 5/6, but at a set-piece it would be wise to tip Virgil van Dijk at 13/2. For Liverpool to win and there to be less than 2.5 goals, that is at a generous 5/2, or alternatively you can bet on Liverpool to win by exactly one goal at 11/4. Finally, to win big money, it wouldn’t be a huge shock if Brighton score first from a set-piece, so backing a defender like Shane Duffy to score first at 28/1 is certainly appealing.

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