champions league

It’s a huge group H match in the Champions League as Manchester United host Valencia at Old Trafford on Tuesday night, kicking off at 7:45pm local time. Juventus are favourites to win the group, therefore this match could be a huge factor in deciding who is likely to join them in the next stage of the Champions League. Manchester United are on three points after their away win at Young Boys, whereas Valencia are on 0 points after their opening day defeat to Juventus.

Home Team: Manchester United

manchester united betting on footballManchester United are enduring a mini crisis at the club, as they find themselves 9 points behind their rivals Liverpool and Manchester City in the league table, labouring in 10th position. Off the field antics involving Jose Mourinho and Paul Pogba has not managed to help their on-field appearances, as it appears the team are not currently playing for the manager. Many players are playing well under their standard and not proving themselves worthy of being in the first team. Their attention draws back to Europe momentarily, as they have this huge clash against Valencia. Whilst it is not a must-win in terms of progressing, it feels as if it’s a must-win game to lift the pressure of Manchester United and in particular, their manager Jose Mourinho. Manchester United opened up their Champions League campaign with a comfortable 3-0 win at Young Boys, and if they were to win this match, they’d already have one foot in the next stage of the competition.

Away Team: Valencia

It could be argued that Valencia over performed last season, staying in the top two for the majority of the season before tailing off towards the end and managing to keep their Champions League spot. However, this season has been a disappointing campaign so far, domestically and in Europe. In the league, they have managed to win only one game from their opening seven, which came as recently as Saturday.

Prior to that, they hadn’t won in their opening six matches, scoring just four goals in four draws and a defeat. Strikers Kevin Gameiro and Michy Batshuayi have failed to form a partnership following their arrival at the club this summer. In their return to the Champions League, they faced off against Juventus at home. Despite the visitors being reduced to 10 men after 29 minutes, Valencia were unable to make use of that extra man advantage, as they managed to give away two goals – two penalties either side of half time.

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Valencia need to build on their win this weekend, and will try to get at least a point at Old Trafford, so they don’t catch adrift in their Champions League qualification pursuit.

Head to Head

The two sides met each other eight times competitively in their history, with a draw being the dominant outcome. Manchester United have won 2 of the 8 clashes, with Valencia winning just the one with the remaining five matches being a draw. Valencia’s only win against Manchester United in their history came back in 1982 in the ‘UEFA Cup’, now known as the Europa League, at their home ground. Manchester United’s first of two wins came in 1999, when they had won 3-0 comfortably at Old Trafford.

Their most recent victory was at the Mestalla Stadum back in 2010 when Javier ‘Chicarito’ Hernandez got a late winner. Out of the four matches at Old Trafford, it has been three draws and one home win. Only 11 goals have been produced in the eight matches before, as they have always proven to be cagey affairs. On Tuesday night, with both sides coming into it after poor starts to the season, it would be fair to say you shouldn’t expect too much different.

Predictions and Betting Tips

Manchester United are favourites to win at 4/6, with the visitors being priced at 4/1 to get a somewhat shock result. A draw is at 29/10. After a torrid week at Manchester United, they’ll be glad to see the end of September, and hopefully this month brings them some joy. They haven’t won a home fixture since the first day of the season, so the Manchester United players will want to give their fans something to cheer about on Tuesday night. It’s hard to back Manchester United, but with their opponents being equally poor, you expect Manchester United to edge out this victory. I’d bet on a 1-0 home victory, which is at 13/2. To boost your chances of winning, you can bet on Manchester United to win by a 1-0, 2-1, or 2-0 score line at 7/4. It will be hard to suggest that Manchester United will score more than two goals, as they have only done that once so far this season.

Both Valencia and Manchester United are struggling for goals this season, and their previous 8 matches in their history have only averaged 1.375 goals per game. Betting on there to be less than 3.5 goals is the safer bet at 2/5, but by that previous record, you can bet there being on less than 1.5 goals at 11/4, which is fairly generous.

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It’s hard to predict the line-ups, in particular for the home side, as Jose Mourinho continuously seems to chop and change as he isn’t sure what his current best side is. It’s expected that Alexis Sanchez and Romelu Lukaku will start in attacking positions with either Martial, Lingard or Rashford making up the front three. As the first two are more definite, then it’ll be wise to bet on them to be the first goal scorer, with Lukaku at 3/1 and Sanchez at 11/2. For them both to score, you can get odds about 4/1. In tight games like this, it may be a defender or midfielder to break the deadlock from a set piece.

Paul Pogba opened up the scoring in their last Champions League clash and he is at 13/2 to open the scoring here, or 11/1 to score a brace like he did in his last Champions League clash. For the visitors, it will appear as Rodrigo Moreno is the most likely scorer at 15/2 to score first with his strike partner to be either Kevin Gameiro or Michy Batshuayi.

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