Real Madrid host Valladolid in their first home game of the new La Liga season, kicking off at 7:00pm local time on Saturday. Both teams will be going into this match with plenty of optimism following a win in their opening matches.
Home Team: Real Madrid
No one knew what to expect when Real Madrid travelled to Celta Vigo this past weekend, but they showed their class to get three crucial points which will instil confidence in the squad. Eden Hazard picked up an injury just a couple of days before the match, meaning he missed out and was replaced by Gareth Bale who had been so close to a move away all summer. Real Madrid played a very familiar team, with no new signings starting the match.
Striker Karim Benzema opened up the scoring for Real Madrid, and despite Luka Modric being sent off for allegedly stamping on someone, Real Madrid went into a 3-0 lead before eventually winning 3-1. Toni Kroos scored a thunderous goal from range, as his shot came off the underside of the bar before going in – a real cracker. Zinedine Zidane will be delighted with an opening day victory, and hopes his side can kick on from here.[geot exclude_country="US" ][/geot]
Away Team: Real Valladolid
Valladolid started last season in terrific form, but their season derailed after November, and started to plummet down the league. In their final three games of the season, they won two, which guaranteed safety, as they eventually finished four points clear of the relegation zone. They opened this season with a visit to Real Betis, and were largely unfancied despite winning their last season. With a huge chunk of luck on their side, lightning struck twice as they won 2-1 courtesy of a late goal from Oscar Plano. That doesn’t tell the whole story though, as Betis had their keeper sent off inside 8 minutes, which put Valladolid in the ascendency. It doesn’t matter how you win though, and manager Sergio will be delighted with three points to start the season. Can they now upset Real Madrid?
Head to Head
Real Madrid have won eight of the last nine meetings between the two clubs, with the remaining match ending in a 1-1 draw. In last season’s meetings, Real Madrid were in cruise control for both, winning 2-0 at home, and 4-1 away. At the Santiago Bernabeu, Real Madrid haven’t had issues from Valladolid for quite some time, winning the last 8 consecutive matches, dating back to 2001, where Valladolid last took a point in a 2-2 draw. Real Madrid’s wins during that period included a 7-2, 4-3 and 7-0. More goals again please?
Predictions and Betting Tips
Real Madrid are strong favourites at 2/11 to pick up the victory here, with Real Valladoild – looking to win their first game at the Bernabeu since the year 2000 – priced at 12/1. For the sides to share the spoils, that is backed at 6/1. Last season, Real Madrid did have some very disappointing home results, and with Eden Hazard still out, may not make light work of this game either. It’s an edgy prediction, but I believe Real Madrid will win, but only by a 1-goal margin at 7/2. For the score line, I’d back a 1-0 win at a generous 10/1.
To increase odds further, you can select that score line in a Scorecast, and back youngster Vinícius Júnior to score the goal at 24/1. If you would like to back the visitors in some capacity, then consider betting on them to be level at half time at 2/1, or even to take a point OR win in a double chance at 4/1.
Finally, I did mention that previous games have had 7+ goals before, and despite this not being my gut feeling, you can back there to be more than 6.5 goals at 8/1.[geot exclude_country="US" ][/geot]