West Brom host Aston Villa in the 2nd leg of their Championship Playoff semi-final, kicking off at the Hawthorns on Tuesday night, at 8:00pm local time. Aston Villa take a 2-1 lead into the game, following their fight back in the first leg.

Home Team: West Brom

West Brom would have been mightily pleased with their first leg performance for large parts, as they took a 1-0 lead through Dwight Gayle, who so often scores vital goals for his respective clubs.

However, he went from hero to zero, as towards the end of the match he received two bookable offences in the last 10 minutes to receive a red card – meaning he’ll be suspended for the return leg on Tuesday. That madness followed Aston Villa’s comeback, who lead the tie 2-1.

West Brom will still be confident they can overturn the tie though, as they have won their last five home matches, and haven’t lost at home since February.

Can West Brom book themselves a place in the play-off final?

 

Away Team: Aston Villa

Aston Villa were the form side coming into the play-offs having won 10 of their last 12 matches in the league. Despite a slow start with rare mistakes by experienced midfielder Glenn Whelan, they still managed to fight back late in the game to give them the win.

Aside from their loss to Championship champions Norwich last week, they haven’t lost a game since West Brom beat them way back in February, and boast one of the best away records in the division. Local boy Jack Grealish is the midfield maestro for Vila, and continues to be instrumental in their push to the Premier League.

Can they go one step closer by avoiding defeat on Tuesday?

Head to Head

Overall, Aston Villa have the better record having won this fixture 78 times over its 134-year history, with West Brom winning on 55 occasions.

In the recent five years, the sides have played each other 9 times, with Aston Villa winning on four occasions, and West Brom winning three times with the other two matches ending in a draw. Tuesday night will see them square up for the 4th time this season, with each side winning one game at Villa Park, with the game at the Hawthorns ending up in a draw.

West Brom have been held by Aston Villa during their last two matches at home, with their last win coming in 2014. Although, Aston Villa themselves haven’t won at the Hawthorns since 2008.

 

Predictions and Betting Tips

West Brom are at 8/5 to win in 90 minutes, with Aston Villa at 13/8. For the sides to draw, which will see Aston Villa progress to the final, is at 12/5. To qualify, West Brom are at 9/4, and Aston Villa are at 1/3. The last 15 minutes changed the complexion entirely for this two-legged tie, and for that I see Aston Villa sneaking through.

The game was a 2-2 draw here when the sides last met, but I believe Aston Villa will go one better and get that first victory at the Hawthorns since 2008 – and win 1-0 (9/1). I’d back Tammy Abraham to score the first (and only) goal at 7/2. There was a penalty in the first leg, and for there to be a penalty taken by either side in this match, it’s at a generous 9/4.

Finally, for the tipsters, there is great value on backing this to go to extra time, and then deciding the outcome from there. So, you can back on Aston Villa or West Brom to win after extra time at 16/1, or either to win on penalties at 18/1.

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