Leeds host Derby on Wednesday night in the 2nd leg of their Championship Playoff semi-final, kicking off on Wednesday night at Elland Road, at 7:45pm local time. Derby have it all to do as they lost their home leg 1-0, so nothing less than a win will do for them.
Home Team: Leeds
Leeds are primed for the final having won the first leg 1-0, in a professional and convincing performance. More possession, more chances, and generally appeared to be more eager to get the win in the first leg, and they fully deserved the victory. The only goal of the game came from Kemar Roofe – the clubs top goal scorer this season.
Leeds will be disappointed not to have been automatically promoted to the Premier League, as their league form faltered towards the end of the season which allowed Sheffield United to keep ahead of them. On a positive note, manager Marcelo Bielsa will have been pleased to see his side get their first win in five games, and look set to take a place in the final if they are to avoid defeat in the return leg.
Can Leeds return to the Premier League, after 15 years of waiting?
Away Team: Derby
Manager Frank Lampard accepted defeat in the first leg, as he felt his side were not good enough to win, blaming the lack of quality when in possession on Saturday evening. Derby finished the season in excellent form with wins over West Brom, Bristol City, and QPR to get into the play-off positions ahead of the likes of Middlesbrough.
However, when it really mattered, they allowed a struggling Leeds team come and get a warranted result. Derby will feel aggrieved that they were not awarded a penalty in the closing stages of the match. At first, referee did point to the spot, only for his decision to be overturned by the linesman on the far side.
No penalty was given, as Derby failed to claw themselves back in the game. Derby will now have to go away and win, something they have only done once in the whole of 2019 in the Championship.
Head to Head
Leeds boast the better record overall winning this fixture 20 more times in their history (57 to 37). The sides have met three times already this season, with Leeds winning on every occasion – scoring seven times and conceding just the once.
Derby last beat Leeds back in 2017, at Elland Road in a 2-1 victory, a result that would take it to extra time if it was to be repeated. From 2006 to 2013, Derby did beat Leeds 10 times in a row, so it feels as if Leeds are finally getting their revenge for many years of hurt in this season alone.
Predictions and Betting Tips
Leeds are strong favourites to win at 3/4, and at 1/9 to qualify for the playoff final. Derby are at 18/5 to win in 90 minutes, and ae at 5/1 to qualify. For the sides to draw, that is priced at 11/4.
Leeds bottled automatic promotion, but I don’t feel they will throw this opportunity away, so I’d back them to win 1-0 at 13/2. For the goal scorer, I’d tip Kemar Roofe to score first at 10/3 for Leeds, but if you want to back an away goal first, I’d recommend having your money on Harry Wilson at 9/1.
I expect it to be another cagey match, so backing there to be less than 2.5 goals at 5/6 seems more than reasonable, and if you want to boost earnings more, back there to be less than 1.5 goals at 11/4.
Finally, for the tipsters, if you believe Derby can continue the 2nd leg comeback trend of recent weeks, you can back them to win from behind at 18/1.[geot country="US,CA" ]
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