Newly promoted Union Berlin host early pace setters Borussia Dortmund in a Bundesliga clash on Saturday, kicking off at 6:30pm local time. Will Dortmund keep up their 100% record? Or will Union Berlin be capable of a major scalp?
Home Team: Union Berlin
Union Berlin are playing their first season in the German top flight since the German reunification in 1990. After many seasons trying to battle to get promoted, they finally managed to achieve it in dramatic style. On the final day of the season, they rescued a 2-2 draw to secure themselves a play-off against Stuttgart in the relegation/promotion play-off. Played over two legs, Union Berlin earned a valuable 2-2 draw away in Stuttgart.
In the return, there was abundance of nerves for the whole 90 minutes, as Union Berlin held onto a 0-0 draw – being promoted thanks to away goals. It was a terrific achievement for the club, who will now do all what they can to remain in the Bundesliga. So far this season, they had a rude awakening when facing Leipzig on the opening day, losing 4-0 at home. However, they went to FC Augsburg last week and managed to salvage a 1-1 draw putting them outside the relegation places for now. How will they cope against Borussia Dortmund?[geot exclude_country="US" ][/geot]
Away Team: Borussia Dortmund
It’s only two matches in, but Borussia Dortmund find themselves where they were for the majority of last season – top of the table. Last season, they were unable to hold on to that advantage, but there is a sense of belief that Dortmund can end the dominance that Bayern Munich currently have. Dortmund have won both of their matches this season already, having come from behind in each. They don’t tend to make it easy for themselves, but once they get going, they are an irresistible force that’s tough to stop.
Jadon Sancho has been a key influence on the team so far, scoring and creating goals, alongside captain Marco Reus who continues to be highly motivated to earn this club a Bundesliga title. A 5-1 win against Augsburg, and a 3-1 win at Koln, can Dortmund make it three from three?
Head to Head
The sides have only met twice in the last 30+ years. Once, in a non-competitive friendly in 2016 where Dortmund won 3-1, but more notably, their meeting in the German Cup last season. Dortmund were at home, and anticipated a relatively easy progression through to the next round, but that couldn’t be further from the truth. After 90 minutes, Union Berlin had fought back from 1-0 down and 2-1 down to draw 2-2. They were moments away from a penalty shoot-out until Marco Reus scored a 120th minute penalty in extra time to send Dortmund through.
My Predictions and Betting Tips
Union Berlin are at 17/2 to get an infamous victory, or 9/2 to get a well-earned draw. For Dortmund to get a victory, that is priced at 2/7. The game is televised in Germany, and many will be tuning in hoping for a shock, but I don’t see that happening. I expect Dortmund to win 2-0 here, priced at 13/2.
To increase earnings on that score line, try to pick the first goal scorer, and I’d personally tip Paco Alcacer to score first in a 2-0 win at 17/1. Alternatively, you can win big by backing Dortmund to win from behind again at 8/1, win both halves at 6/4, or to score 5+ goals at 13/2.
Finally, for the dreamers, you can back Union Berlin to win by a 2-0 score line at an incredible 50/1, or even by backing their frontman Sebastian Polter to score in first 10 minutes at 33/1.[geot exclude_country="US" ][/geot] [geot country="US,CA" ]
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