Borussia Dortmund welcome Mainz to the Signal Iduna Park on Saturday evening, kicking off at 6:30pm local time. Dortmund will hope to bounce back from their humiliating defeat this past weekend to Bayern Munich, against a side who has very little to play for.
Home Team: Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund have had an excellent season, and many would feel that they have surpassed many expectations from even their own fans. At times, they have been terrific, and have played a huge part in what is being a stunning and dramatic title race. Last season, they were miles behind Bayern Munich, and were embarrassed when losing 6-0 to them at the Allianz Arena. Many had hoped that this showdown this past week would have seen them produce a far better performance, but they were humbled once again, losing 5-0, with 4 goals coming in the first half.
Dortmund were 2nd best all game, and despite a few glimpses of their attacking threat, their defence just looked weak and feeble. Dortmund are now a point behind Bayern Munich, for the first time since August, and will have to win their remaining 6 fixtures and hope Bayern Munich fall somewhere along the way. They must do their job though, and that is to get back to winning ways this Saturday.
Away Team: Mainz
Mainz currently occupy 12th in the Bundesliga table, which is a similar position to where they had finished last campaign. They are just 3 points behind last year’s total, with another 6 games to play so you’d expect them to better their record. Their form of late has been quite worrying, losing four matches in a row that included a 6-0 thrashing to Bayern Munich.
However, last weekend they managed to produce one of their best performances of the season, as they destroyed Freiburg 5-0, and therefore leapfrogged them in the table. Young French star Jean-Phillipe Mateta scored a hat-trick in that match, which took his own total to double figures for the season. Can he prove to be a danger, and halt Dortmund’s title bid?
Head to Head
Borussia Dortmund have been fairly dominant in this fixture over the years, but Mainz have been able to catch Dortmund on an off-day here and there. For example, in this fixture in last years’ campaign, Mainz were able to win 2-1 towards the end of the season, as they scored two goals in the first 13 minutes, and managed to hold on for the rest of the game.
That was their first win against Dortmund since 2014, and away from home in decades. Dortmund usually make light-work of Mainz at home, as they had won 7 of their previous home fixtures against them. In the reverse fixture this season, Dortmund won the match 2-1, with Lukasz Piszczek scoring a fantastic wondergoal in the final moments of the game.[geot exclude_country="US" ][/geot]
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Predictions and Betting Tips
[geot exclude_country="US,CA" ][/geot] Dortmund are strong favourites at 2/7 to get the win, with Mainz at 9/1 to get their 2nd successive win at Dortmund. For the sides to share the spoils, that is priced at 9/2. Dortmund have the most impressive home form in the division, with 12 wins from 14, remaining undefeated, so that alone should give you another validation to back a home win here, and I expect them to win by a 3-1 score line – at 17/2.
[geot country="US,CA" ][/geot] For goal scorers, it may be worth boosting your odds by selecting two scorers at any time, so my picks would be Jadon Sancho and captain Marco Reus, at 4/1. If you would like to back the visitors in some capacity, there is good value on them scoring 2+ goals, at 7/2, scoring the first goal at 14/5 or just drawing at half time at 13/8. Finally, there has been many goals scored at Dortmund this season, even from the away side, so backing there to be more than 4.5 goals at 11/4 should be considered.
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